Japan Tokai Quake Predicted for late 2016 early 2017
by Britton LaRoche · 01/08/2009 (2:12 pm) · 1262 comments
Update Jan 2013: Quake Database Built and Tested! Results are Here:
Note: Our method for predicting earthquakes has failed for a Southern California earthquake in the Spring 2011 and for the Tokai earthquake in Japan, and for Istanbul in 2012. This method of predicting earthquakes is still just a theory at this point.
In spite of the setbacks over the past year, we have predicted several significant earthquakes (documented in this blog) using a lunar tidal model. An entire community of people have contributed in this blog. Together we watched earthquake patterns as we made predictions. The authors here have contributed by presenting new ideas and linked research. Together we have refined the model over time. We believe the next window for the Japan Tokai quake is now in late 2016 or early 2017.
The Tokai earthquake article quoted below is linked here: geology.about.com/od/eq_prediction/a/aa_tokaiquake.htm
"The great Tokai Earthquake of the 21st century has not happened yet, but Japan has been getting ready for it for over 30 years.... The Tokai segment last ruptured in 1854, and before that in 1707. Both events were great earthquakes of magnitude 8.4. The segment ruptured in comparable events in 1605 and in 1498. The pattern is pretty stark: a Tokai earthquake has happened about every 110 years, plus or minus 33 years. As of 2012, it has been 158 years and counting."
Utilizing the theory tha certain lunar and solar eclipse cycles create higher than normal tidal pressure in Japan, we were able to use this model to correctly account for and predict almost all of the past tokai quakes in Japan. See page 43 for the details. www.garagegames.com/community/blogs/view/15946/43
Current Japan Tokai Predictions based on the Lunar Saros Eclipse Cycle 114 and the resulting tidal pressures.
In the past we were not able to pinpoint the exact location. Using the stress transfer algorithm developed by scientist Jeffrey King and his team we now believe we have a method of predicting both the time and the location. Watch the video here for an explanation.
The observation that tidal forces may trigger earth quakes in locations that have tectonic plates deep beneath the surface of the ocean, has been investigated in many scientific papers. We believe we have significant data gathered and reported in this blog to support the theory, the following prediction is one such example.
Japan Tohoku Quake 2011: Predicted 1 Month in Advance
Page 20 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction
Click Link above, then scroll way down to read posts
The March 2011 Japanese 9.0 magnitude earthquake was predicted right here in this blog on February 10th 2011 by a database query against lunar saros orbital data from NASA and earthquake data gathered from the USGS (US Geological Survey) and NGDC (National Geophysical Data Center) in an Oracle database. This query predicted the Sendai quake (published in this blog) one full month in advance.
Since 2009 we've been refining an idea of predicting earthquakes based on the lunar gravitational pull based on the lunar Saros cycle. The section below was my first attempt at making a prediction based on the 2009 Solar eclipse. We refined the method to produce a database of lunar eclipse data gathered from NASA and earthquake data gathered from the USGS and NGDC. I predicted the Japan earthquake on February 10th 2011 you can see the prediction at the bottom on page 19. Page 19 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction Made Feb 10th 2011 (bottom of page)
Actual
The earthquake prediction was based off of the lunar saros cycle which produced a similar quake in Japan in 1916.
P. 20 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction Explained
P. 21 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction Explained
----------------------------- Original 2009 Prediction Below ------------------------------------------------
Eclipse Earthquake Theory
What is the relationship between an earthquake and an eclipse? One normally thinks of a solar eclipse as merely the moon blocking the light of the sun. What one misses with this concept, is that these are two celestial bodies that have a large gravitation pull on the earth. During an eclipse these two bodies combine gravitational forces in exactly one straight line. This means that the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon on the earth are combined during the eclipse.
The eclipse quake theory is as follows; When the gravitational force of the sun and moon are both pulling together they create larger than normal tidal forces. The solar tide is about one third the size of the lunar tide. When these tidal forces work together they provide a larger than normal downward push on a subducted tectonic plate. If the gravitation distortion and tidal forces pass over the joint between two tectonic plates that has not had series of recent earthquakes, the extra gravitational pull, and tidal force push is all that is needed to "pop the seam" and cause a major quake. Molten magma beneath the surface of the earth plays a role too. Because the earth rotates faster than the moon's orbit, this magma tide as well as the ocean tide is often actually directly in front of the moon's path. Matching eclipse data from NASA to earthquake data from the USGS demonstrates a great deal of correlative data between eclipses and an earthquakes.
Scientific Papers Backing the Theory
This study from Department of Astronomy, Beijing Normal University, 100875, P.R. China Supports the theory. www.springerlink.com/content/y8r15x9n9qrn8upq/
The lunar earthquake theory was first proposed by Jim Berkland, a retired USGS Geologist. Watch him on you tube here.
AAAS press release: Tides and Earthquakes
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37, L02301, 4 PP., 2010
Page 19 - Supporting evidence from recent scientific studies
The posts below from 2009 catalog my thoughts as the theory develops. Links between the pages for navigation are provided at the bottom right.
Once the donations hit 1 million USD I will quit my full time job and dedicate myself to quake prediction. All I need is a dollar from one million people or a million dollars from one very generous billionaire. Maybe Bill Gates would be interested. ;)
View Stats
Note: Our method for predicting earthquakes has failed for a Southern California earthquake in the Spring 2011 and for the Tokai earthquake in Japan, and for Istanbul in 2012. This method of predicting earthquakes is still just a theory at this point.
In spite of the setbacks over the past year, we have predicted several significant earthquakes (documented in this blog) using a lunar tidal model. An entire community of people have contributed in this blog. Together we watched earthquake patterns as we made predictions. The authors here have contributed by presenting new ideas and linked research. Together we have refined the model over time. We believe the next window for the Japan Tokai quake is now in late 2016 or early 2017.
The Tokai earthquake article quoted below is linked here: geology.about.com/od/eq_prediction/a/aa_tokaiquake.htm
"The great Tokai Earthquake of the 21st century has not happened yet, but Japan has been getting ready for it for over 30 years.... The Tokai segment last ruptured in 1854, and before that in 1707. Both events were great earthquakes of magnitude 8.4. The segment ruptured in comparable events in 1605 and in 1498. The pattern is pretty stark: a Tokai earthquake has happened about every 110 years, plus or minus 33 years. As of 2012, it has been 158 years and counting."
Utilizing the theory tha certain lunar and solar eclipse cycles create higher than normal tidal pressure in Japan, we were able to use this model to correctly account for and predict almost all of the past tokai quakes in Japan. See page 43 for the details. www.garagegames.com/community/blogs/view/15946/43
Current Japan Tokai Predictions based on the Lunar Saros Eclipse Cycle 114 and the resulting tidal pressures.
PREDICTED QUAKE_DATE ECLIPSE_DATE DAYS SAROS MAG LAT LONG REGION ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2016-11-19 1498-09-20 1498-12-13 -84 114 8.6 34 138.1 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA SEA 2016-11-19 1498-09-20 1498-12-13 -84 114 7.5 33.5 135.2 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2017-04-01 1854-12-24 1854-11-20 34 140 8.3 33.20 135.60 JAPAN 2017-04-02 1854-12-24 1854-11-04 50 114 8.3 33.20 135.60 JAPAN
In the past we were not able to pinpoint the exact location. Using the stress transfer algorithm developed by scientist Jeffrey King and his team we now believe we have a method of predicting both the time and the location. Watch the video here for an explanation.
The observation that tidal forces may trigger earth quakes in locations that have tectonic plates deep beneath the surface of the ocean, has been investigated in many scientific papers. We believe we have significant data gathered and reported in this blog to support the theory, the following prediction is one such example.
Japan Tohoku Quake 2011: Predicted 1 Month in Advance
Page 20 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction
Click Link above, then scroll way down to read posts
The March 2011 Japanese 9.0 magnitude earthquake was predicted right here in this blog on February 10th 2011 by a database query against lunar saros orbital data from NASA and earthquake data gathered from the USGS (US Geological Survey) and NGDC (National Geophysical Data Center) in an Oracle database. This query predicted the Sendai quake (published in this blog) one full month in advance.
Since 2009 we've been refining an idea of predicting earthquakes based on the lunar gravitational pull based on the lunar Saros cycle. The section below was my first attempt at making a prediction based on the 2009 Solar eclipse. We refined the method to produce a database of lunar eclipse data gathered from NASA and earthquake data gathered from the USGS and NGDC. I predicted the Japan earthquake on February 10th 2011 you can see the prediction at the bottom on page 19. Page 19 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction Made Feb 10th 2011 (bottom of page)
PREDICTED ORIGIN SAROS MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-08 1916-04-21 118 7.8 33 141 JAPAN: OFF EAST COAST HONSHU
Actual
DATE SAROS MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-11 118 9.0 38.30 142.37 JAPAN: OFF EAST COAST HONSHU
The earthquake prediction was based off of the lunar saros cycle which produced a similar quake in Japan in 1916.
P. 20 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction Explained
P. 21 - March 2011 Japan Quake Prediction Explained
----------------------------- Original 2009 Prediction Below ------------------------------------------------
Eclipse Earthquake Theory
What is the relationship between an earthquake and an eclipse? One normally thinks of a solar eclipse as merely the moon blocking the light of the sun. What one misses with this concept, is that these are two celestial bodies that have a large gravitation pull on the earth. During an eclipse these two bodies combine gravitational forces in exactly one straight line. This means that the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon on the earth are combined during the eclipse.
The eclipse quake theory is as follows; When the gravitational force of the sun and moon are both pulling together they create larger than normal tidal forces. The solar tide is about one third the size of the lunar tide. When these tidal forces work together they provide a larger than normal downward push on a subducted tectonic plate. If the gravitation distortion and tidal forces pass over the joint between two tectonic plates that has not had series of recent earthquakes, the extra gravitational pull, and tidal force push is all that is needed to "pop the seam" and cause a major quake. Molten magma beneath the surface of the earth plays a role too. Because the earth rotates faster than the moon's orbit, this magma tide as well as the ocean tide is often actually directly in front of the moon's path. Matching eclipse data from NASA to earthquake data from the USGS demonstrates a great deal of correlative data between eclipses and an earthquakes.
Scientific Papers Backing the Theory
This study from Department of Astronomy, Beijing Normal University, 100875, P.R. China Supports the theory. www.springerlink.com/content/y8r15x9n9qrn8upq/
Quote:
This paper considers the relationship between 21 major earthquakes(Magnitude 7.0) in land and the offshore area of Taiwan island in the 20th century and thevariance ratio of the lunar-solar tidal force. The result indicates that the time of these earthquakes is closely related to the variance ratio of the lunar-solar tidal force, and therefore that the tidal force possibly plays an important role in triggering earthquakes.
The lunar earthquake theory was first proposed by Jim Berkland, a retired USGS Geologist. Watch him on you tube here.
AAAS press release: Tides and Earthquakes
Quote:
Tidal forces may have contributed to triggering the devastating magnitude 9.0 Sumatra earthquake of 2004 and other large earthquakes in the region. Gravitational pull from the Sun and the Moon not only is responsible for ocean tides but also creates Earth tides, slight motions of the solid Earth (bulges and dips in the earth's crust and upper mantle) that can lead to stress buildup (or stress relief) along faults.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 37, L02301, 4 PP., 2010
Quote:
doi:10.1029/2009GL041581
The frequency distribution of tidal phase angles in the pre-event period exhibited a peak near the angle where the tidal shear stress is at its maximum to accelerate the fault slip. This implies that the high correlation observed in the pre-seismic stage is not a stochastic chance but is likely a physical consequence of the tidal stress change.
Page 19 - Supporting evidence from recent scientific studies
The posts below from 2009 catalog my thoughts as the theory develops. Links between the pages for navigation are provided at the bottom right.
Once the donations hit 1 million USD I will quit my full time job and dedicate myself to quake prediction. All I need is a dollar from one million people or a million dollars from one very generous billionaire. Maybe Bill Gates would be interested. ;)
#402
View Stats
03/15/2011 (7:16 pm)
Repeating Feb 10th Predictions:PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-05 1916-04-18 7.5 53.3 -170 ALASKA: ALEUTIAN ISLANDS: FOX ISLANDS 2011-03-08 1916-04-21 7.8 33 141 JAPAN: OFF EAST COAST HONSHU 2011-03-09 1939-01-25 8.3 -36.2 -72.2 CHILE: CHILLAN 2011-03-11 1916-04-24 7.2 18.5 -68 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: SANTO DOMINIGO 2011-03-12 1609-10-20 8.6 -11.9 -77.4 PERU 2011-03-13 1916-04-26 7.3 9.33 -82.55 PANAMA: BOCAS DEL TORO 2011-03-14 1939-01-30 7.8 -6.5 155.5 PAPUA NEW GUINEA: BOUGAINVILLE ISLAND 2011-03-16 1970-05-31 7.9 -9.2 -78.8 PERU 2011-03-17 1993-03-06 7.1 -10.9 164.18 CORAL SEA, AUSTRALIA 2011-03-24 1988-06-18 7.0 26.86 -111.0 MEXICO, GULF OF CALIFORNIA 2011-03-24 1997-12-05 7.8 54.84 162.04 U:2:RUSSIA: KAMCHATKA PENINSULA 2011-03-24 1997-12-05 7.8 54.84 162.03 RUSSIA: KAMCHATKA: UST-KAMCHATSK 2011-03-27 1970-06-11 7.6 -59.1 157.8 AUSTRALIA: MACQUARIE ISLAND 2011-03-27 1979-11-27 7.1 33.96 59.726 IRAN 2011-03-27 1943-11-06 7.6 -6 134.3 INDONESIA: NEW GUINEA: IRIAN JAYA 2011-03-30 1921-02-04 7.5 15 -91 MEXICO-GUATEMALA 2011-04-10 1979-12-12 7.7 1.598 -79.35 COLOMBIA: OFF SHORE; PACIFIC OCEAN 2011-04-10 2006-07-17 7.7 -9.25 107.41 JAVA; INDONESIA 2011-04-10 1997-12-22 7.2 -5.49 147.87 PAPUA NEW GUINEA; SOLOMON SEA 2011-04-10 1957-03-08 7.0 39.4 22.8 GREECE: STEPHANOVIKION-VELESTNON 2011-04-12 1957-03-09 8.6 51.29 -175.6 ALASKA 2011-04-15 1925-11-13 7.3 13 125 PHILIPPINES: SAMAR: LAOANG; BATAG I 2011-04-17 1943-11-26 7.6 41 33.7 TURKEY: LADIK 2011-04-17 1925-11-16 7.0 18.5 -107 S. MEXICO 2011-04-19 1943-11-28 7.6 54.9 156.8 RUSSIA: KAMCHATKA 2011-04-21 1812-12-21 7.1 34.2 -119.9 CALIFORNIA: PURISIMA 2011-04-23 1998-01-04 7.5 -22.3 170.91 U:2:NEW CALEDONIA: LOYALTY ISLANDS 2011-04-24 1957-03-22 7.5 55 -165.2 ALASKA: ALEUTIAN ISLANDS: FOX ISLANDS
#403
Not all of these are land based. Not all of these will happen. I'll post the ones I think will hit in a future post. Not all of them are the Tokai quake.
03/15/2011 (8:06 pm)
Here are all the really big quakes my algorithm predicts for Japan through 2017PREDICTED_DATE ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2012-04-27 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SOUTHEAST COAST KII PENINSULA 2012-10-15 1994-10-04 8.3 43.77 147.32 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS; JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2013-04-23 1611-12-02 8.1 39 144.5 JAPAN: SANRIKU 2013-12-16 1099-02-22 8.4 33 135.5 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2014-01-14 1586-01-18 8.2 35 136.8 JAPAN: ISE BAY 2014-05-02 1707-10-28 8.4 33.2 134.8 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2014-05-02 1707-10-28 8.4 34.1 137.8 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA 2014-05-13 1946-12-20 8.1 33 135.6 JAPAN: HONSHU: S COAST 2014-11-26 1911-06-15 8.7 29 129 JAPAN: RYUKYU ISLANDS 2015-02-15 1677-04-13 8.1 40 144 JAPAN: SANRIKU 2015-06-03 1361-08-03 8.4 33 135 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2016-11-19 1498-09-20 8.6 34 138.1 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA SEA 2017-01-19 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SOUTHEAST COAST KII PENINSULA 2017-07-08 1994-10-04 8.3 43.77 147.32 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS; JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2017-09-25 1968-05-16 8.2 40.8 143.2 JAPAN: OFF E COAST HONSHU ISLAND
Not all of these are land based. Not all of these will happen. I'll post the ones I think will hit in a future post. Not all of them are the Tokai quake.
#404
03/15/2011 (8:34 pm)
Thanks for your predictions, I am still following you here. 
#405
Ok yeah maybe not post them all if all of them are just repeating. Just post which ones you think the machine is doing right. I can understand that part of it. No need to post all of them then.
Japan seems to have a lot in the next few years, but like you said, not all of them will occur.
03/15/2011 (9:08 pm)
Hi Britton,Ok yeah maybe not post them all if all of them are just repeating. Just post which ones you think the machine is doing right. I can understand that part of it. No need to post all of them then.
Japan seems to have a lot in the next few years, but like you said, not all of them will occur.
#406
1498
1605 - Feb 3rd
1707 - October 28th
1854 - December 23rd, 9 AM
Here are the saros cycles for those years:
Notice 1707 had 4 Partial Solar eclipses?
Here are the Saros cycles for the really big quakes.
We have a few matches between the tokai quake and the list above.
You may have noticed the 1944 Match. Is it possible we have had the Tokai quake already in 1944? If so that buys Japan a few years. If not, then its past due. I need to look at the exact time of the quakes, may need to pull in the year next to it.
03/15/2011 (10:00 pm)
@Seneq, The Tokai quakes occurred in the following years:1498
1605 - Feb 3rd
1707 - October 28th
1854 - December 23rd, 9 AM
Here are the saros cycles for those years:
SAROS EDATE TYPE OBS ------------------------------------------ 096 1604-04-14 LUNAR Penumbral 101 1604-10-08 LUNAR Penumbral 105 1707-04-02 SOLAR Partial 106 1605-04-03 LUNAR Partial 109 1498-06-19 SOLAR Annular 109 1854-05-12 LUNAR Partial 110 1707-09-25 SOLAR Partial 111 1605-09-27 LUNAR Partial 114 1498-12-13 SOLAR Total 114 1854-11-04 LUNAR Partial 116 1498-01-08 LUNAR Total 119 1855-05-02 LUNAR Total 121 1498-07-03 LUNAR Partial 122 1604-04-29 SOLAR Annular 124 1855-10-25 LUNAR Total 126 1498-12-28 LUNAR Penumbral 127 1604-10-22 SOLAR Total 132 1605-04-18 SOLAR Annular 134 1604-05-13 LUNAR Penumbral 135 1854-05-26 SOLAR Annular 137 1605-10-12 SOLAR Total 140 1854-11-20 SOLAR H3 143 1707-05-02 SOLAR Partial 145 1855-05-16 SOLAR Partial 148 1707-10-25 SOLAR Partial 150 1855-11-09 SOLAR Partial
Notice 1707 had 4 Partial Solar eclipses?
Here are the Saros cycles for the really big quakes.
PREDICTED SAROS ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 2012-04-27 140 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SE COAST KII PENINSULA 2012-10-15 133 1994-10-04 8.3 43.77 147.32 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS; JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2012-10-15 145 1994-10-04 8.3 43.77 147.32 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS; JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2013-04-23 138 1611-12-02 8.1 39 144.5 JAPAN: SANRIKU 2013-12-16 117 1099-02-22 8.4 33 135.5 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2014-01-14 117 1586-01-18 8.2 35 136.8 JAPAN: ISE BAY 2014-05-02 148 1707-10-28 8.4 33.2 134.8 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2014-05-02 148 1707-10-28 8.4 34.1 137.8 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA 2014-05-13 122 1946-12-20 8.1 33 135.6 JAPAN: HONSHU: S COAST 2014-11-26 127 1911-06-15 8.7 29 129 JAPAN: RYUKYU ISLANDS 2015-02-15 132 1677-04-13 8.1 40 144 JAPAN: SANRIKU 2015-06-03 120 1361-08-03 8.4 33 135 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2016-11-19 114 1498-09-20 8.6 34 138.1 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA SEA 2017-01-19 140 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SE COAST KII PENINSULA 2017-01-20 114 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SE COAST KII PENINSULA 2017-07-08 145 1994-10-04 8.3 43.77 147.32 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS; JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2017-09-25 119 1968-05-16 8.2 40.8 143.2 JAPAN: OFF E COAST HONSHU ISLAND
We have a few matches between the tokai quake and the list above.
PREDICTED SAROS ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 2012-04-27 140 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SE COAST KII PENINSULA 2014-05-02 148 1707-10-28 8.4 33.2 134.8 JAPAN: NANKAIDO 2014-05-02 148 1707-10-28 8.4 34.1 137.8 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA 2014-05-13 122 1946-12-20 8.1 33 135.6 JAPAN: HONSHU: S COAST 2016-11-19 114 1498-09-20 8.6 34 138.1 JAPAN: ENSHUNADA SEA 2017-01-19 140 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SE COAST KII PENINSULA 2017-01-20 114 1944-12-07 8.1 34 137.1 JAPAN: OFF SE COAST KII PENINSULA 2017-09-25 119 1968-05-16 8.2 40.8 143.2 JAPAN: OFF E COAST HONSHU ISLAND
You may have noticed the 1944 Match. Is it possible we have had the Tokai quake already in 1944? If so that buys Japan a few years. If not, then its past due. I need to look at the exact time of the quakes, may need to pull in the year next to it.
#407
I need to look more closely at the Saros within 90 days of the quake and only pick those. There is another factor I'm not listing yet that will help me pick the quakes.
03/15/2011 (10:34 pm)
I've updated the list above where needed. I'm not a big fan of the 2012 doomsday nonsense. But we do have a match in April 2012 for the Tokai Quake.Eclipse Date TYPE OBS SAROS --------------------------------------- 1498-01-08 LUNAR Total 116 1498-06-19 SOLAR Annular 109 1498-07-03 LUNAR Partial 121 1498-12-13 SOLAR Total 114 1498-12-28 LUNAR Penumbral 126 1605-04-03 LUNAR Partial 106 1605-04-18 SOLAR Annular 132 1605-09-27 LUNAR Partial 111 1605-10-12 SOLAR Total 137 1707-04-02 SOLAR Partial 105 1707-05-02 SOLAR Partial 143 1707-09-25 SOLAR Partial 110 1707-10-25 SOLAR Partial 148 1854-05-12 LUNAR Partial 109 1854-05-26 SOLAR Annular 135 1854-11-04 LUNAR Partial 114 1854-11-20 SOLAR H3 140
I need to look more closely at the Saros within 90 days of the quake and only pick those. There is another factor I'm not listing yet that will help me pick the quakes.
#408
The meltdown of reactors plus the extremely toxic products from the spent fuel rods make the situation extraordinary bad.
The Japanese government is still covering up and not teling the truth.
Here are the links:
http://www.naturalnews.com/031718_nuclear_power_dirty_bomb.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
On 19th March (full moon) will see increase of seismic activities. If another big quake of 7 magnitute and above hit the same area, Fukushima nuclear power plant which is on fire may blow up ??? So be prepared for
a Dirty bomb fall out.
03/16/2011 (3:56 am)
Thanks Britton. This is an update of the Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan - a dirty Bomb waiting to go off. There are bundles spent fuel rods stored at the nuclear plant instead of realocating them away a long long time ago. Beside the reactors, this bundles of spent fuel rods could be on fire and they are extremely toxic. The meltdown of reactors plus the extremely toxic products from the spent fuel rods make the situation extraordinary bad.
The Japanese government is still covering up and not teling the truth.
Here are the links:
http://www.naturalnews.com/031718_nuclear_power_dirty_bomb.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
On 19th March (full moon) will see increase of seismic activities. If another big quake of 7 magnitute and above hit the same area, Fukushima nuclear power plant which is on fire may blow up ??? So be prepared for
a Dirty bomb fall out.
#409
I'm posting the magnitude 6.0s, which is an over prediction for sure. Here is the forecast for Japan and Neighboring Regions through the beginning of July 2011. We start getting some magnitude 7 quakes in the North West of Japan and in the Russian Kuril Islands in June 2011.
The next closest quake in the region will be April 5th (according to the data) Those quakes are land based and could pose a threat to the already damaged nuclear plants. If we are really unlucky then the quakes will be magnified by the recently weakened tectonic plate, they could be bigger than a 6.0.
03/16/2011 (7:20 am)
I believe that using my Saros Cycle Earthquake prediction method we will be able to produce earthquake forecasts in the not so distant future. Based on the data we can see that there are no magnitude 7 quakes until this summer when we have the eclipse. I'm posting the magnitude 6.0s, which is an over prediction for sure. Here is the forecast for Japan and Neighboring Regions through the beginning of July 2011. We start getting some magnitude 7 quakes in the North West of Japan and in the Russian Kuril Islands in June 2011.
PREDICTED SAROS ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-16 118 2006-06-22 6.0 45.42 149.34 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS 2011-04-05 118 1993-03-25 6.0 41.80 143.47 JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2011-04-06 118 1812-12-07 6.6 35.4 139.6 JAPAN 2011-04-11 118 1988-07-06 6.3 41.74 144.20 JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2011-05-05 118 1988-07-30 6.3 44.77 149.89 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS 2011-05-12 118 1975-04-20 6.1 33.19 131.3 JAPAN: OITA; AROSAN 2011-05-12 130 1975-04-20 6.1 33.19 131.30 JAPAN: AROSAN 2011-05-12 130 1980-01-12 6.0 41.68 143.59 JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2011-05-14 118 1596-09-04 6.9 33.3 131.7 JAPAN: BEPPU BAY 2011-06-12 118 1988-09-07 6.1 30.25 137.43 2011-06-13 118 1939-05-01 7.0 40.1 139.5 JAPAN: HONSH NW 2011-06-15 130 1980-02-15 6.0 44.53 149.74 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS 2011-06-22 130 1980-02-23 7.0 43.53 146.75 RUSSIA: S. KURIL ISLANDS 2011-06-22 130 1980-02-23 7.1 43.53 146.75 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS; JAPAN: HOKKAIDO 2011-06-23 130 1980-02-23 6.0 43.24 146.90 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS 2011-07-02 118 1975-06-10 7.0 43.02 147.73 KURIL; RUSSIA-HOKKAIDO; JAPAN 2011-07-05 118 1975-06-13 6.6 43.49 147.71 KURIL; RUSSIA-HOKKAIDO; JAPAN 2011-07-05 118 2006-10-10 6.0 37.20 142.66 2011-07-05 130 1975-06-13 6.6 43.49 147.71 KURIL; RUSSIA-HOKKAIDO; JAPAN 2011-07-06 118 1975-06-14 6.0 43.55 147.89 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS: S 2011-07-06 118 1975-06-14 6.1 36.28 143.43 2011-07-06 118 1975-06-15 6.5 43.67 147.80 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS: S 2011-07-06 130 1975-06-14 6.0 43.55 147.89 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS: S 2011-07-06 130 1975-06-14 6.1 36.28 143.43 2011-07-06 130 1975-06-15 6.5 43.67 147.80 RUSSIA: KURIL ISLANDS: S
The next closest quake in the region will be April 5th (according to the data) Those quakes are land based and could pose a threat to the already damaged nuclear plants. If we are really unlucky then the quakes will be magnified by the recently weakened tectonic plate, they could be bigger than a 6.0.
#410
I really like the humble way you are presenting your theory and data.
Have you seen all the hullaballoo around Jim Berkland's predictions?
I am preparing, and have no idea what is real or not.
Seems like your data is not showing any big quakes for US West Coast for quite a while, certainly not tmrw...
Or am I misreading?
03/18/2011 (12:02 pm)
Sorry, newbie here. I really like the humble way you are presenting your theory and data.
Have you seen all the hullaballoo around Jim Berkland's predictions?
I am preparing, and have no idea what is real or not.
Seems like your data is not showing any big quakes for US West Coast for quite a while, certainly not tmrw...
Or am I misreading?
#411
Well I am humble because although my predictions are very specific, not all of them are correct. The ones that are correct are big, and very specific as to the date location and magnitude. Here is what we have for the US and its neighbors and protectorates.
The April 21st Quake in California is just south of Santa Barbara. This is a subset of the Feb 10th database prediction list that included the 2011 Sendai Quake.
I also think Berkland is right, I'm merely refining his method with a database query against the Lunar Saros Series. I call this method the "Berkland-LaRoche Earthquake Prediction method."
03/18/2011 (1:23 pm)
@Erin,Well I am humble because although my predictions are very specific, not all of them are correct. The ones that are correct are big, and very specific as to the date location and magnitude. Here is what we have for the US and its neighbors and protectorates.
PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-05 1916-04-18 7.5 53.3 -170 ALASKA: ALEUTIAN ISLANDS: FOX ISLANDS 2011-03-24 1988-06-18 7.0 26.86 -111.0 MEXICO, GULF OF CALIFORNIA 2011-03-30 1921-02-04 7.5 15 -91 MEXICO-GUATEMALA 2011-04-12 1957-03-09 8.6 51.29 -175.6 ALASKA 2011-04-15 1925-11-13 7.3 13 125 PHILIPPINES: SAMAR: LAOANG; BATAG I 2011-04-17 1925-11-16 7.0 18.5 -107 S. MEXICO 2011-04-21 1812-12-21 7.1 34.2 -119.9 CALIFORNIA: PURISIMA 2011-04-24 1957-03-22 7.5 55 -165.2 ALASKA: ALEUTIAN ISLANDS: FOX ISLANDS
The April 21st Quake in California is just south of Santa Barbara. This is a subset of the Feb 10th database prediction list that included the 2011 Sendai Quake.
I also think Berkland is right, I'm merely refining his method with a database query against the Lunar Saros Series. I call this method the "Berkland-LaRoche Earthquake Prediction method."
#412
Basically the spinning molten core inside the earth makes the whole planet a giant liquid electro magnet. This action produces the earth's magnetic field. It is measurable. When the molten core is perturbed by the lunar gravitational pull ( much like the tides ) it causes magnetic disturbances.
The moons orbit has an eccentricity that makes it move about the latitude of the planet in a peculiar but predictable way. Kepler first law implies that the Moon's orbit is an ellipse with the Earth at one focus. The distance from from the Earth to the Moon varies by about 13% as the Moon travels in its orbit around us. This variation can be measured with a telescope.
The Moon's orbit about the Earth lies in a plane which is tilted by about 5.15 degrees with respect to the plane of the Earth's orbit about the Sun. (If this tilt was zero, we would have total solar and lunar eclipses every month!)
The Saros cycle is an eclipse cycle with a period of 223 synodic months (approximately 6585.3213 days, or nearly 18 years 11 1/3 days), that can be used to predict eclipses of the Sun and Moon. One cycle after an eclipse, the Sun, Earth, and Moon return to approximately the same relative geometry, and a nearly identical eclipse will occur.
Each Saros series starts with a partial eclipse, and each successive Saros cycle the path of the Moon is shifted either northward (when near the descending node) or southward (when near the ascending node). At some point, eclipses are no longer possible and the series terminates. Arbitrary dates were established by compilers of eclipse statistics.
It takes between 1226 and 1550 years for the members of a saros series to traverse the Earth's surface from north to south (or vice-versa). These extremes allow from 69 to 87 eclipses in each series (most series have 71 or 72 eclipses). From 39 to 59 (mostly about 43) eclipses in a given series will be central (that is, total, annular, or hybrid annular-total). At any given time, approximately 40 different Saros series will be in progress.
Saros series are numbered according to the type of eclipse (solar or lunar) and whether they occur at the Moon's ascending or descending node. Odd numbers are used for solar eclipses occurring near the ascending node, whereas even numbers are given to descending node solar eclipses. For lunar eclipses, this numbering scheme is reversed. The ordering of these series is determined by the time at which each series peaks, which corresponds to when an eclipse is closest to one of the lunar nodes.
No one argues that the lunar gravitation pull causes the tides to rise and fall on the earth. I'm suggesting the same holds true for the electrically and magnetically charged iron magma. The way to measure the movement of the magma is by measuring the changes in the earth's magnetic field.
These magnetic disturbances cause beachings of marine animals. Whale beachings etc are a sign of an impending earthquake. Thats my theory anyway. This data coupled with the lunar saros cycle should give us an incredibly accurate earthquake forecasting model. I call this model the "Berkland-LaRoche Earthquake prediction model."
What Berkland and I agree on is the following list is a very likely set of quakes waiting to happen. As he states in the you tube video in the post above, we have seen some magnetic disturbances in the marine life of the coast of California and Mexico.
03/18/2011 (1:50 pm)
The earth's magnetic field is generated by a liquid molten iron core. When you spin a magnet inside a copper coil you get an electric field in the copper coil. When you take a coiled copper wire and run an electric current through it you get a magnetic field.Basically the spinning molten core inside the earth makes the whole planet a giant liquid electro magnet. This action produces the earth's magnetic field. It is measurable. When the molten core is perturbed by the lunar gravitational pull ( much like the tides ) it causes magnetic disturbances.
The moons orbit has an eccentricity that makes it move about the latitude of the planet in a peculiar but predictable way. Kepler first law implies that the Moon's orbit is an ellipse with the Earth at one focus. The distance from from the Earth to the Moon varies by about 13% as the Moon travels in its orbit around us. This variation can be measured with a telescope.
The Moon's orbit about the Earth lies in a plane which is tilted by about 5.15 degrees with respect to the plane of the Earth's orbit about the Sun. (If this tilt was zero, we would have total solar and lunar eclipses every month!)
The Saros cycle is an eclipse cycle with a period of 223 synodic months (approximately 6585.3213 days, or nearly 18 years 11 1/3 days), that can be used to predict eclipses of the Sun and Moon. One cycle after an eclipse, the Sun, Earth, and Moon return to approximately the same relative geometry, and a nearly identical eclipse will occur.
Each Saros series starts with a partial eclipse, and each successive Saros cycle the path of the Moon is shifted either northward (when near the descending node) or southward (when near the ascending node). At some point, eclipses are no longer possible and the series terminates. Arbitrary dates were established by compilers of eclipse statistics.
It takes between 1226 and 1550 years for the members of a saros series to traverse the Earth's surface from north to south (or vice-versa). These extremes allow from 69 to 87 eclipses in each series (most series have 71 or 72 eclipses). From 39 to 59 (mostly about 43) eclipses in a given series will be central (that is, total, annular, or hybrid annular-total). At any given time, approximately 40 different Saros series will be in progress.
Saros series are numbered according to the type of eclipse (solar or lunar) and whether they occur at the Moon's ascending or descending node. Odd numbers are used for solar eclipses occurring near the ascending node, whereas even numbers are given to descending node solar eclipses. For lunar eclipses, this numbering scheme is reversed. The ordering of these series is determined by the time at which each series peaks, which corresponds to when an eclipse is closest to one of the lunar nodes.
No one argues that the lunar gravitation pull causes the tides to rise and fall on the earth. I'm suggesting the same holds true for the electrically and magnetically charged iron magma. The way to measure the movement of the magma is by measuring the changes in the earth's magnetic field.
These magnetic disturbances cause beachings of marine animals. Whale beachings etc are a sign of an impending earthquake. Thats my theory anyway. This data coupled with the lunar saros cycle should give us an incredibly accurate earthquake forecasting model. I call this model the "Berkland-LaRoche Earthquake prediction model."
What Berkland and I agree on is the following list is a very likely set of quakes waiting to happen. As he states in the you tube video in the post above, we have seen some magnetic disturbances in the marine life of the coast of California and Mexico.
PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-24 1988-06-18 7.0 26.86 -111.0 MEXICO, GULF OF CALIFORNIA 2011-04-21 1812-12-21 7.1 34.2 -119.9 CALIFORNIA: PURISIMA
#413
I understood about 1/3 of this... maybe 1/2 ;-) ... but that's OK... you included what I did specifically ask you about,
so THANK YOU!
(And my boyfriend said he would read the rest and translate for me ;-) so thanks for including ALL of this summary, so we can eventually understand it!)
I appreciate such a full and QUICK answer!!!
03/19/2011 (3:50 pm)
Heh heh heh. I understood about 1/3 of this... maybe 1/2 ;-) ... but that's OK... you included what I did specifically ask you about,
so THANK YOU!
(And my boyfriend said he would read the rest and translate for me ;-) so thanks for including ALL of this summary, so we can eventually understand it!)
I appreciate such a full and QUICK answer!!!
#414
No problem. We had our first quake in the predicted spot. We will have more. Again the prediction was published in this blog on February 10th.
Actual Quake reported by the USGS... (more to come)
Magnitude 4.5
Date-Time
* Friday, March 18, 2011 at 01:44:12 UTC
Location 25.416N, 109.711W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region GULF OF CALIFORNIA
---------------------
Dominican republic was predicted, but its not as big as expected. We will see if there is more to come.
Magnitude 5.4
Date-Time
* Wednesday, March 16, 2011 at 13:42:33 UTC
Location 19.033N, 67.918W
Depth 56 km (34.8 miles)
Region DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION
Distances
* 95 km (59 miles) ENE (61) from Higey, La Altagracia, Dominican Republic
Side note on Magnetci Disturbances affecting marine animal navigation. Right before the Sendai quake we have this:
www.japanprobe.com/2011/03/06/japanese-volunteers-rescue-beached-melon-headed-wh...
March 6th 2011
Japanese Volunteers Rescue Beached Melon-headed Whales
About 200 people, including staff at Oarai Aquarium in the same prefecture, city government officials and local residents and surfers near the Oritsu coast tried to save the beached whales by keeping them hydrated while they tried to refloat them, but 30 of them died, according to the city government.
It took about eight hours to return the surviving whales to the sea, the officials said, adding they have buried the bodies of the dead whales on the nearby shore.
03/19/2011 (7:49 pm)
@Erin,No problem. We had our first quake in the predicted spot. We will have more. Again the prediction was published in this blog on February 10th.
PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-24 1988-06-18 7.0 26.86 -111.0 MEXICO, GULF OF CALIFORNIA
Actual Quake reported by the USGS... (more to come)
Magnitude 4.5
Date-Time
* Friday, March 18, 2011 at 01:44:12 UTC
Location 25.416N, 109.711W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region GULF OF CALIFORNIA
---------------------
Dominican republic was predicted, but its not as big as expected. We will see if there is more to come.
PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-11 1916-04-24 7.2 18.5 -68 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: SANTO DOMINIGO
Magnitude 5.4
Date-Time
* Wednesday, March 16, 2011 at 13:42:33 UTC
Location 19.033N, 67.918W
Depth 56 km (34.8 miles)
Region DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION
Distances
* 95 km (59 miles) ENE (61) from Higey, La Altagracia, Dominican Republic
Side note on Magnetci Disturbances affecting marine animal navigation. Right before the Sendai quake we have this:
www.japanprobe.com/2011/03/06/japanese-volunteers-rescue-beached-melon-headed-wh...
March 6th 2011
Japanese Volunteers Rescue Beached Melon-headed Whales
About 200 people, including staff at Oarai Aquarium in the same prefecture, city government officials and local residents and surfers near the Oritsu coast tried to save the beached whales by keeping them hydrated while they tried to refloat them, but 30 of them died, according to the city government.
It took about eight hours to return the surviving whales to the sea, the officials said, adding they have buried the bodies of the dead whales on the nearby shore.
#415
A little research on that historic quake yields the following information:
Santa Barbara Tsunami(s) of 1812 - A Source of Controversy
There greatest controversy regarding the generation of tsunamis from local earthquakes in California has been about events which occurred along the Santa Barbara coast region in December of 1812. The December 1812 earthquakes and resulting tsunami waves have been the subject of research by many scientists. Historical accounts reported large tsunami waves with no clear documentation on the chronology of events. There is no doubt that one and possibly two large tsunami events were generated by the December 1812 earthquakes in the Santa Barbara region. However, the tsunamis could not have been as large as they have been described in the historical accounts. Furthermore, tsunami events of such magnitude would place in different perspective the suseptibility of Southern California to the tsunami hazard (from local earthquakes)
Because of the importance of these events, a thorough investigation of the literature was undertaken, initially in the early 1960's under contract with Marine Advisers in connection with the design and licensing of the San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant, near San Clemente. Subsequent historical research was conducted in the early 1970's in connection with assessing the local tsunami hazard for the design and licencing of Units 2 and 3 of the same San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant.
Accounts of the 1812 Santa Barbara earthquakes and tsunami waves can be found in numerous publications, including mission records.
Just looking at the proximity to the beach with its small protective walls makes me think that the San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant will not be able to withstand a tsunami.
According to my calculations they have less than 30 days to figure it out. If the 1812 tsunami reports are to be believed then we could be in some serious danger.
The 1813 solar and lunar eclipse Saros was 118 and 130. The earthquake and tsunami occurred about 2 months prior. This is what drives my prediction. We have the exact same two saros series that (according to my theory) caused the 1812 quake.
You can see why I am worried. But who am I? I'm just a guy with quake database that predicted the Sendai quake 30 days in advance. I'm still unknown and lack credibility. Not much I can do to alert the authorities.
03/20/2011 (9:49 pm)
So we also have a nuclear power plant to worry about just like the Japanese. Its not like we didn't have some warning about this sort of thing, I wonder how well our power plants in California will withstand a tsunami. According to my Database this one has a potential of being a real possibility.PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-04-21 1812-12-21 7.1 34.2 -119.9 CALIFORNIA: PURISIMA
A little research on that historic quake yields the following information:
Santa Barbara Tsunami(s) of 1812 - A Source of Controversy
There greatest controversy regarding the generation of tsunamis from local earthquakes in California has been about events which occurred along the Santa Barbara coast region in December of 1812. The December 1812 earthquakes and resulting tsunami waves have been the subject of research by many scientists. Historical accounts reported large tsunami waves with no clear documentation on the chronology of events. There is no doubt that one and possibly two large tsunami events were generated by the December 1812 earthquakes in the Santa Barbara region. However, the tsunamis could not have been as large as they have been described in the historical accounts. Furthermore, tsunami events of such magnitude would place in different perspective the suseptibility of Southern California to the tsunami hazard (from local earthquakes)
Because of the importance of these events, a thorough investigation of the literature was undertaken, initially in the early 1960's under contract with Marine Advisers in connection with the design and licensing of the San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant, near San Clemente. Subsequent historical research was conducted in the early 1970's in connection with assessing the local tsunami hazard for the design and licencing of Units 2 and 3 of the same San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant.
Accounts of the 1812 Santa Barbara earthquakes and tsunami waves can be found in numerous publications, including mission records.
Just looking at the proximity to the beach with its small protective walls makes me think that the San Onofre Nuclear Power Plant will not be able to withstand a tsunami.
According to my calculations they have less than 30 days to figure it out. If the 1812 tsunami reports are to be believed then we could be in some serious danger.
PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-04-21 1812-12-21 7.1 34.2 -119.9 CALIFORNIA: PURISIMA
The 1813 solar and lunar eclipse Saros was 118 and 130. The earthquake and tsunami occurred about 2 months prior. This is what drives my prediction. We have the exact same two saros series that (according to my theory) caused the 1812 quake.
ECLIPSE_DATE TYPE OBS SAROS --------------------------------------------- 1813-02-01 SOLAR Annular 118 1813-02-15 LUNAR Partial 130 2011-06-01 SOLAR Partial 118 2011-06-15 LUNAR Total 130
You can see why I am worried. But who am I? I'm just a guy with quake database that predicted the Sendai quake 30 days in advance. I'm still unknown and lack credibility. Not much I can do to alert the authorities.
#416
03/21/2011 (10:39 pm)
Why do they build nuclear power plants close to fault lines??? In Japan Fukushima nuclear disaster, the Government and Tokyo Electric Co are covering-ups and not telling the truth to the Japanese people and the whole world. There are 3,400 tons of spent nuclear fuel rods in the atomic complex. Radioactive materials are floating around and reach USA during the explosion at nuclear reactor #3 which contains highly toxic plutonium. Tens of millions of people are going to die because of the radiation. Lets hope the US government are more truthful when disaster struck.
#417
Good question. In many cases they underestimate the capacity of the fault lines to generate a significant quake. Compound that with the fact that they had limited data when they built the plants.
March 21st news Article Here
The fears are compounded by the findings of Geophysicist Jeane Hardebeck of the US Geological Survey, who said that the newly discovered network of faults around Diablo Canyon could produce much stronger earthquakes than officially forecast.
But the real problem is that these plants are not well maintained and the safety devices will most probably fail in an emergency.
Nuclear power from the San Onofre plant near San Diego and the Diablo Canyon facility some 300 kilometres north of Los Angeles accounts for 15 per cent of the electricity used in the huge American state.
Pacific Gas & Electric has asked for a licence renewal for the Diablo Canyon plant, which sits just 1.5 kilometres from a quake fault that was discovered three years ago.
'The fundamental question is whether these facilities should be located next to active faults and whether they are operated safely,' said state Senator Sam Blakeslee, whose district includes the Diablo Canyon plant. 'With what's unfolding in Japan, why would anyone approve a permit for these plants to keep operating until every question is answered?'
According to the Los Angeles Times, state inspectors in late 2009 found that valves intended to cool the reactor in an emergency had been stuck shut for 18 months. At the San Onofre plant, safety violations included failed emergency generators, improperly wired batteries and falsified fire safety data.
Adding one 6.9 in to the California prediction list as I think its related.
03/22/2011 (9:48 am)
@Peter,Good question. In many cases they underestimate the capacity of the fault lines to generate a significant quake. Compound that with the fact that they had limited data when they built the plants.
March 21st news Article Here
The fears are compounded by the findings of Geophysicist Jeane Hardebeck of the US Geological Survey, who said that the newly discovered network of faults around Diablo Canyon could produce much stronger earthquakes than officially forecast.
But the real problem is that these plants are not well maintained and the safety devices will most probably fail in an emergency.
Nuclear power from the San Onofre plant near San Diego and the Diablo Canyon facility some 300 kilometres north of Los Angeles accounts for 15 per cent of the electricity used in the huge American state.
Pacific Gas & Electric has asked for a licence renewal for the Diablo Canyon plant, which sits just 1.5 kilometres from a quake fault that was discovered three years ago.
'The fundamental question is whether these facilities should be located next to active faults and whether they are operated safely,' said state Senator Sam Blakeslee, whose district includes the Diablo Canyon plant. 'With what's unfolding in Japan, why would anyone approve a permit for these plants to keep operating until every question is answered?'
According to the Los Angeles Times, state inspectors in late 2009 found that valves intended to cool the reactor in an emergency had been stuck shut for 18 months. At the San Onofre plant, safety violations included failed emergency generators, improperly wired batteries and falsified fire safety data.
Adding one 6.9 in to the California prediction list as I think its related.
PREDICTED ORIGIN SAROS MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-24 1988-06-18 118 7.0 26.86 -111.0 MEXICO, GULF OF CALIFORNIA 2011-04-08 1812-12-08 118 6.9 34.37 -117.6 CALIFORNIA: SAN JUAN CAPISTRANO 2011-04-21 1812-12-21 118 7.1 34.2 -119.9 CALIFORNIA: PURISIMA
#418
The seismic activity graph is lightning up. 12 hours ago it is all quiet. Any comments?
http://aslwww.cr.usgs.gov/Seismic_Data/heli2.shtml
03/22/2011 (10:45 pm)
Thank you Britton.The seismic activity graph is lightning up. 12 hours ago it is all quiet. Any comments?
http://aslwww.cr.usgs.gov/Seismic_Data/heli2.shtml
#419
Yeah according to my database predictions we should see some quakes in Russia and Mexico, Gulf of California in the next 48 hours. The prediction was for March 24th 2011. So I'd expect a lot of activity right about now.
Prediction for the next few days:
Nice website BTW! aslwww.cr.usgs.gov/Seismic_Data/heli2.shtml
I'll be watching this one in Baja California:
And this one in Japan:
And this one in Yuzno Russia
Also watching the magnetic data here:
geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
IU/SNZO, South Karori, New Zealand (closest to predicted Australian Quake)
O'Neals California Magnetic Data
AUSTRALIA: MACQUARIE ISLAND Magnetic Data
Australia Maquire Island Chart
By the way, these images are updated in real time, so we can all watch this page as the events unfold. I was also asked about the comet elenin and its possible effects. It really depends entirely on the amount of gravitational pull the comet exerts on the earth. I highly suspect its influence is significantly less than that of the Sun and Moon.
News Flash... Australia just topped the list. We had a beaching on the south bruny island, much like before the Japan Sendai quake.
March 18th 2011
www.news.com.au/national/eleven-whales-saved-after-beaching-on-south-bruny-islan...
Located at the south eastern tip of Tasmania...
03/23/2011 (10:59 am)
@peter,Yeah according to my database predictions we should see some quakes in Russia and Mexico, Gulf of California in the next 48 hours. The prediction was for March 24th 2011. So I'd expect a lot of activity right about now.
Prediction for the next few days:
PREDICTED ORIGIN MAG LAT LONG REGION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2011-03-24 1988-06-18 7.0 26.86 -111.0 MEXICO, GULF OF CALIFORNIA 2011-03-24 1997-12-05 7.8 54.84 162.04 U:2:RUSSIA: KAMCHATKA PENINSULA 2011-03-24 1997-12-05 7.8 54.84 162.03 RUSSIA: KAMCHATKA: UST-KAMCHATSK 2011-03-27 1970-06-11 7.6 -59.1 157.8 AUSTRALIA: MACQUARIE ISLAND 2011-03-27 1979-11-27 7.1 33.96 59.726 IRAN 2011-03-27 1943-11-06 7.6 -6 134.3 INDONESIA: NEW GUINEA: IRIAN JAYA 2011-03-30 1921-02-04 7.5 15 -91 MEXICO-GUATEMALA
Nice website BTW! aslwww.cr.usgs.gov/Seismic_Data/heli2.shtml
I'll be watching this one in Baja California:
And this one in Japan:
And this one in Yuzno Russia
Also watching the magnetic data here:
geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
IU/SNZO, South Karori, New Zealand (closest to predicted Australian Quake)
O'Neals California Magnetic Data
AUSTRALIA: MACQUARIE ISLAND Magnetic Data
Australia Maquire Island Chart
By the way, these images are updated in real time, so we can all watch this page as the events unfold. I was also asked about the comet elenin and its possible effects. It really depends entirely on the amount of gravitational pull the comet exerts on the earth. I highly suspect its influence is significantly less than that of the Sun and Moon.
News Flash... Australia just topped the list. We had a beaching on the south bruny island, much like before the Japan Sendai quake.
March 18th 2011
www.news.com.au/national/eleven-whales-saved-after-beaching-on-south-bruny-islan...
Located at the south eastern tip of Tasmania...
#420
Other wise it may have been a valid or close prediction. Problem is it was not above a 6.0 and it really is pushing the limits of the theory.
Magnitude 5.4
Date-Time
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 15:54:35 UTC
Location 20.68N, 99.739E
Depth 10.3 km (6.4 miles)
Region MYANMAR
Distances 86 km (53 miles) N of Chiang Rai, Thailand
03/24/2011 (11:49 am)
As I've stated before I'm always refining the Algorythm. I missed this one because I did not include Saros 125 from 2010 in my query. But that may be a good thing, its no where near a 7.2, and it may have created unnecessary panic.Prediicted ORIGIN SAROS MAG LAT LONG REGION ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2011-03-14 1943-10-23 125 7.2 21.5 93.5 MYANMAR (BURMA)
Other wise it may have been a valid or close prediction. Problem is it was not above a 6.0 and it really is pushing the limits of the theory.
Magnitude 5.4
Date-Time
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 15:54:35 UTC
Location 20.68N, 99.739E
Depth 10.3 km (6.4 miles)
Region MYANMAR
Distances 86 km (53 miles) N of Chiang Rai, Thailand
Torque Owner Britton LaRoche
All that aside. I'll post my two Tokai Quake predictions.